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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.The offshore RMB (CNH) was quoted at 7.2675 yuan against the US dollar at 05:59 Beijing time, up 168 points from last Friday's late session in new york, and the whole trading in the day was in the range of 7.2927-7.2572 yuan.XAI, owned by Musk, is updating the function of the Grok chat robot through a new autoregressive image generation model code-named Aurora, which has been launched on the X platform.

Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① It is possible to release the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November; ② The time to be determined is China's import and export and trade account in November; ③ At 11: 30, the Reserve Bank of Australia announced the interest rate resolution; ④ At 12: 30, Reserve Bank of Australia Chairman Brock held a press conference on monetary policy; ⑤ 15:00 Germany's November CPI final value; ⑥ At 01:00 the next day, us energy information administration (EIA) released the monthly short-term energy outlook report (STEO); ⑦ At 05:30 the next day, american petroleum institute (API) released the weekly crude oil inventory report.The achievements of China's international cooperation in desertification control were unveiled at COP16. On the 9th, the China Pavilion of the 16th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (COP16) held a side event with the theme of "Green Technology, Green Future" to share the successful experience of China's international cooperation in desertification control.On December 9, the top 20 US stock turnover: Apple hit a record high, with a market value exceeding 3.7 trillion US dollars. On Monday, Apple, the fifth US stock turnover, closed up 1.61%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 10.425 billion US dollars and a market value of about 3.73 trillion US dollars. It is reported that by 2025, a quarter of Apple's iPhone will be produced outside China, and India will become the most likely production base. As a fast-growing market, India has hundreds of millions of potential customers, and Samsung and China brands have launched fierce competition here. According to market research firm IDC, the average price of smartphones in India has risen from $192 in the third quarter of 2020 to $293 in the same period of 2024. Apple's market share increased by nearly 60% from the third quarter of 2023 to 2024, which was partly due to its launch of the old iPhone which was more close to the people. (Global Market Broadcast)

National Development and Reform Commission: Constantly improve investment policy tools and focus on expanding effective investment. It will close in 2024. How to further release the engine of domestic demand in 2025? Chengfeng Zhao, deputy director of the Investment Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that the National Development and Reform Commission will pay equal attention to quality and efficiency, constantly improve investment policy tools, focus on expanding effective investment, give full play to the key role of investment, and promote economic growth and structural optimization.Ministry of Commerce: Vigorously develop digital consumption, green consumption and healthy consumption and improve consumption conditions. Yang Wei, deputy director of the Consumption Promotion Department of the Ministry of Commerce, said that in the next step, the Ministry of Commerce will promote the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods, so that more consumers can get real money. Organize all kinds of activities for the integration of business travel, culture and sports; Actively promote the start-up economy and vigorously develop digital consumption, green consumption and healthy consumption; Take measures to improve consumption conditions at the same time. In cities, it is necessary to deepen the cultivation and construction of international consumption center cities, promote the renovation of pedestrian streets and business districts and upgrade the format, and enhance the urban consumption level; In rural areas, we will deepen the three-year action of county-level commercial construction and implement the high-quality development project of rural e-commerce to make rural residents' consumption more convenient.Bitcoin rebounded more than $2,000 in the short term and returned to above $96,000.